We developed a mathematical model that allows us to estimate the burden of disease attributable to sugary drinks and the potential impact of interventions aimed at reducing their consumption.

This model compares a world with the current consumption of sugary beverages in the countries analyzed, with a world in which there is no consumption. To estimate the impact on disease burden, both the direct effect of the consumption of sugary drinks on health and the effect produced through the increase in the body mass index (BMI) and its association with different pathologies are used. At the same time, the impact of each pathology associated with changes in BMI is evaluated in terms of quality-adjusted life years and costs for the health system.

Access to documents:

• • Modelling sugar sweetened beverage attributable disease burden. Description of the simulation model

• • Carga de enfermedad atribuible al consumo de bebidas azucaradas: descripción de aspectos metodológicos generales del modelo de simulación (spanish)

Publications:

• Andrea Alcaraz, Andres Pichon-Riviere, Alfredo Palacios et al. Sugar Sweetened Beverages Attributable Disease Burden and the Potential Impact of Policy Interventions: A Systematic Review of Epidemiological and Decision Models, 15 January 2021, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square.